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The Impact of COVID-19 on Energy Systems : analysis of the shock in electricity production in France in 2020

(2022)

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Claux_71701500_2022.pdf
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Abstract
This thesis is focused on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on energy systems, and especially on the production of electricity in France in 2020. This subject is directly linked with the field of electricity production (or load) forecasting. Such a forecasting can be complex to make because of events that can modify the trend of the electricity production : wars, stock market crashes, pandemics, terrorist attacks, etc. Although the COVID-19 pandemic is the subject of this thesis, the work done here can be applied for another type of event. In this thesis, after a brief contextualization of the COVID-19 pandemic in France and of its impact on the electricity production, a general forecasting model is presented. This model is able to forecast the production for the whole year 2020 and it is then used in a dynamic system to include the shock due to the COVID-19. This is followed by a discussion of the method used and a qualitative analysis of this shock. The results obtained and the analysis made can be added to the already existing works about the forecasting of economic shocks.

Citations

Claux, N. (2022). The Impact of COVID-19 on Energy Systems : analysis of the shock in electricity production in France in 2020. https://dial-mem.test.bib.ucl.ac.be/handle/2078.2/28524