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Probabilistic approach of intermittent energy production: The case of wind turbines in Belgium

Toniotti, Martial
(2021)

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Toniotti_3560-19-00_2021.pdf
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Details

Supervisors
Van Bellegem, Sébastien
Faculty
Faculté des sciences économiques, sociales, politiques et de communication
Degree label
Master [120] en sciences économiques, orientation économétrie, à finalité approfondie
Abstract
Wind turbines are an intermittent energy source, meaning their production depends on a physical flux and is inherently random, as opposed to more traditional ways of producing electricity, that are dispatchable. Belgian data is used, analyzed with partial identification, and is modeled with a locally stationary wavelet (LSW) process to try to assess the inherent risk of wind energy, what can be done about it by considering off-shore and on-shore wind turbines as two different assets in a portfolio and see the potential of this energy source in terms of percentage of electrical consumption.